* Franchise business model is largely untried in China
* Firms tend to directly manage to ensure food safety,
quality
* Yum may look beyond mainland for potential franchise
partners
By Adam Jourdan
SHANGHAI, Oct 23 (Reuters) - As Yum Brands Inc YUM.N looks
to triple its store footprint in China and revive flagging
growth there, it faces a hurdle with one of its traditional
growth drivers: the country's underdeveloped franchise market.
The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell said this week it
will spin off its dominant China business, where it aims to grow
its restaurant count to 20,000 and bring in more franchise
partners. Nine in 10 Yum stores worldwide are franchised.
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China's franchise market, however, has been held back by
food safety worries, opaque supply chains and a lack of reliable
partners, meaning companies often resort to managing stores
directly. This gives them more oversight, but it raises costs
and potentially slows expansion.
"Franchising has always been seen as a more iffy proposition
here," said James Roy, Shanghai-based associate principal at
China Market Research, pointing to a lack of large-scale
partners, intellectual property risks and food safety fears.
Only 7 percent of Yum's 6,900 China stores are operated as a
franchise versus 91 percent outside China. Rival McDonald's Corp
MCD.N franchises around 15 percent of its China outlets versus
more than 80 percent globally.
Yum wants to raise its franchises to one in 10 of its China
outlets this year. Decisions thereafter will be left up to the
spun-off China unit. McDonald's is moving in the same direction,
and said recently it was looking for a buyer for its 400-plus
Taiwan outlets. urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL3N0ZB1M7
Franchising has long been a tool to accelerate expansion. In
Yum's 2014 annual report, CEO Greg Creed wrote the firm had "the
franchise capability necessary to facilitate growth."
While the franchise model works well in developed markets,
where reliable supply chains ensure food quality, it has less of
a track record in China, a vast emerging market where Yum is
expanding at break-neck speed and where close control of supply
chains is vital for success.
"We have not been approached by Yum to help them expand in
mainland China. Even if we had, we would be very cautious. We
don't have the resources and capability," said a senior
executive at Taiwan's Uni-President China Holdings Ltd
0220.HK , who didn't want to be named.
He noted China is a "tough market" with a focus on food
safety, fast rising wages and steep rental costs.
LOOKING BEYOND THE MAINLAND
Picking the right partners will be key for Yum to navigate
through its toughest period yet in China, where it has been hit
by damaging food safety scares, slowing economic growth, rising
competition from local rivals and its own marketing blunders.
"There's no lack of Chinese entrepreneurs willing to invest
in a franchised store, but few are competent to manage it," the
U.S. Department of Commerce has warned American firms.
This might mean Yum will need to scout beyond mainland
China. It already has ties with Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd
JARD.SI , which runs franchises for Pizza Hut and KFC in Hong
Kong, Macau and Taiwan.
Other potential partners could include Uni-President;
Singapore's BreadTalk Group Ltd BRET.SI , which operates Carl's
Jr outlets in China; and China F&B Group, which has links with
Papa John's International Inc PZZA.O and Berkshire Hathaway
Inc's BRKa.N ice cream outlet Dairy Queen.
Locally, Beijing Hualian and China Resources Corp help run
outlets for international brands.
Or, says Bernstein analyst Sara Senatore, Yum could opt to
go it alone. "China still generates plenty of cash and its brand
and supply chain have a very broad reach. So from a practical
standpoint, it doesn't need franchisees to expand," she said.
Coffee giant Starbucks Corp SBUX.O has reduced its
reliance on franchised stores in China, now directly managing
around 60 percent of its outlets compared to just 11.5 percent a
decade ago.
The balance for Yum to consider is: would the pace of growth
be worth the risk of losing control over food safety - a
sensitive issue for Chinese diners fed on a diet of horror
stories from recycled "gutter oil" to decades-old "zombie meat".
"If there were any question marks at all over the integrity
or trust of the franchise partner, it would make me even more
worried than now," said Li Mengxin, a 22-year-old student in
Shanghai.
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Yum's China spin-off puts new spotlight on risk urn:newsml:reuters.com:*:nL1N12K2MM
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(Reporting by Adam Jourdan, with additional reporting by Faith
Hung in TAIPEI, Lisa Baertlein in LOS ANGELES and Donny Kwok in
HONG KONG; Editing by Ian Geoghegan)
((adam.jourdan@thomsonreuters.com; +86 21 6104 1778; Reuters
Messaging: adam.jourdan.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
Keywords: YUM! BRANDS RESTRUCTURING/FRANCHISE