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Fitch Downgrades Jain Irrigation to 'RD' on Bank Loan Default; Off RWN

(The following statement was released by the rating agency)


Fitch Ratings-Singapore/Mumbai-October 16: Fitch Ratings has downgraded 
India-based micro-irrigation company Jain Irrigation Systems Limited's (JISL) 
Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) to 'RD' from 'CCC-' and the rating on its 
USD200 million 7.125% senior unsecured notes due in 2022 to 'C' from 'CCC-' with 
a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. The downgrade follows JISL's uncured payment default 
on working capital debt, following which the lenders are pursuing an 
out-of-court debt resolution process. 

All ratings have been removed from Rating Watch Negative (RWN), on which they 
were placed on 21 June 2019. The notes are issued by JISL's wholly owned 
subsidiary, Jain International Trading B.V., and guaranteed by JISL.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Uncured Payment Default: JISL informed Fitch that it failed to meet debt service 
commitments on its working capital facilities in India with delays of between 60 
to 90 days in some cases. JISL's working capital lenders have signed an 
inter-creditor agreement (ICA) whereby the lenders introduce policies for the 
resolution of stressed assets under the Indian Regulatory Framework. Fitch's 
understanding is that lenders are pursuing an out-of-court process to formulate 
a debt resolution plan by early January 2020. 

High Risk of Insolvency Proceedings:  JISL faces formal insolvency proceedings 
if its liquidity position does not improve and lenders initiate legal 
proceedings upon the failure of the debt resolution efforts. The ICA dated 5 
July 2019 signed by the Indian working capital lenders has a review period of 
180 days, in accordance with Reserve Bank of India regulations. The lenders have 
appointed Brescon to work on a resolution plan. 

Nonetheless, we believe the risk of insolvency is high, considering uncertainty 
around the timing of collection of overdue government receivables. JISL's access 
to new debt capital is poor in our view, considering the default on its working 
capital debt and signing of the ICA. JISL is exploring the sale of minority 
stakes in some of its businesses to reduce debt. It is highly uncertain if JISL 
can achieve it in a timely manner to avoid insolvency proceedings.

Cross Default with Notes: We believe the non-payment on the working capital 
facilities may have triggered an event of default on the notes. Under the bond 
indenture, an event of default occurs if JISL, which is the guarantor for the 
notes, fails to pay principal on any debt following a grace period, with an 
outstanding principal of more than USD15 million. The bond trustee or 25% of the 
noteholders can declare the principal immediately due and payable.

Overdue Receivables Causing Liquidity Squeeze: Fitch believes that further 
delays in the recovery of receivables from government customers in its 
micro-irrigation systems (MIS) projects business coupled with a weak sales 
momentum in the six months to 30 September 2019 (1HFY20) led to the liquidity 
squeeze. JISL indicated that its liquidity has reduced to INR1.5 billion - with 
all working capital lines fully drawn in India - from INR11.9 billion at FYE19. 
JISL collected a further INR1.5 billion of overdue government receivables since 
July 2019, but fresh delays caused the total of overdue government receivables 
to rise to INR14 billion. 

We expect the delayed start but prolonged monsoon season to have hit the trading 
performance of retail segment of MIS business in 1HFY20. Enlarged receivables in 
MIS projects business are likely to reduce the pace of execution in 2HFY20, in 
our view.

DERIVATION SUMMARY

JISL's IDR has been downgraded to 'RD' as our definition of the rating is 
uncured payment default but no initiation of bankruptcy filings administration, 
receivership, liquidation, or other formal winding-up procedure yet and 
continuity of business operations. 

KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Recovery Rating Assumptions

- The recovery analysis assumes that JISL would be considered a going-concern in 
bankruptcy and that the company would be reorganised rather than liquidated. We 
have assumed a 10% administrative claim.

- We have assumed that JISL's going-concern EBITDA is equal to its EBITDA in 
FY19 with no further discount applied. It reflects Fitch's view of a 
sustainable, post-reorganisation EBITDA level, upon which we based the valuation 
of the company.

- An enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA multiple of 5.0x is used to calculate the 
post-reorganisation valuation and we believe this is closer to a distressed 
multiple, considering that as of 1 October 2019, with its stock price at 
multi-year lows, JISL was trading at a EV/EBITDA multiple of about 5.4x.

- We used secured and unsecured debt as of 31 March 2019. The compulsory 
convertible debentures, USD200 million bonds issued by Jain International 
Trading B.V., vendor financing in trade-payables reclassified as debt, and the 
foreign-currency convertible bonds are treated as unsecured debt.

- We have assumed that JISL's sanctioned but undrawn lines of INR10.8 billion as 
of 31 March 2019 will be fully drawn at the point of distress, and that these 
lenders would have a prior ranking claim on JISL's assets ahead of bond 
investors.

- The recovery waterfall results in recovery rate estimate corresponding to a 
Recovery Rating of 'RR4' for the USD200 million unsecured notes. 

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Developments that May, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating 
Action

-  Fitch would reassess the company's credit profile following the completion of 
a successful debt restructuring.

Developments that May, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating 
Action

- The IDR will be downgraded to 'D' if JISL enters into bankruptcy proceedings, 
administration, receivership, liquidation or other formal winding-up procedure 
or if it ceases operations.

LIQUIDITY

Insolvent: Fitch believes JISL does not have the funds to meet its immediate 
debt-servicing obligations and the company's access to new capital is poor. 

Contact: 

Primary Analyst

Akash Gupta

Director

+65 6796 7242

Fitch Ratings Singapore Pte Ltd.

One Raffles Quay

South Tower #22-11

Singapore 048583

Secondary Analyst

Snehdeep Bohra

Associate Director

+91 22 4000 1732

Committee Chairperson

Vicky Melbourne

Senior Director

+612 8256 0325

ESG CONSIDERATIONS

Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of ESG credit 
relevance is a score of 3 - ESG issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal 
credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they 
are being managed by the entity. 

JISL has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Management Strategy due to the 
management's aggressive approach to managing working capital and liquidity, 
which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the rating 
in conjunction with other factors.

JISL has an ESG Relevance Score of '5' for Financial Transparency due to the 
lack of timely and adequate disclosures, which have a negative impact on the 
company's credit profile and is highly relevant to the rating. 

For more information on our ESG Relevance Scores, visit 
www.fitchratings.com/esg.

Summary of Financial Statement Adjustments 

- The full value of JISL's compulsory convertible debentures is treated as debt

- JISL extends a corporate guarantee of up to INR1 billion on the debt of its 
associate Sustainable Agro-Commercial Finance Limited, which we include as 
off-balance-sheet debt when calculating leverage.

- JISL includes vendor financing as part of its trade payables. However we have 
removed this from payables and treated it as debt as it extends JISL's normal 
working capital cycle significantly. Vendor financing amounted to INR1.9 billion 
and INR2.0 billion, respectively, for FY18 and FY19. 

- We have excluded INR1 billion from JISL's reported year-end cash to account 
for a typically lower cash balance during other fiscal quarters.

Media Relations: Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7234, Email: 
leslie.tan@thefitchgroup.com.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

Applicable Criteria 

Corporate Hybrids Treatment and Notching Criteria (pub. 09 Nov 2018)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10051058

Corporate Rating Criteria (pub. 19 Feb 2019)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10062582

Corporates Notching and Recovery Ratings Criteria (pub. 14 Oct 2019)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10090792

Country-Specific Treatment of Recovery Ratings Criteria (pub. 18 Jan 2019)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10058988

Sector Navigators (pub. 23 Mar 2018)

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10023790

Additional Disclosures 

Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form 

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10097970

Solicitation Status 

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10097970#solicitation

Endorsement Policy 

https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory

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